Will I post 2 articles on my Substack between 16Mar - 23Mar

There's a close probability split on posting 2 articles on Substack this week.

The prediction market shows a 45% chance of posting 2 articles, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 48%. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 81 hours, the market appears fairly priced, indicating uncertainty regarding the outcome.

• 1 Market probability indicates a slight lean towards not posting articles.
• 2 AI probability suggests a marginally higher chance of posting articles.
• 3 The confidence level reflects moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time pressure is significant with only 81 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market edge of 3 indicates fair pricing with no clear advantage.