Will I win the 50$ gift card from the MAA USAmo/usajmo feedback survey?

Low probability of winning the $50 gift card based on current market data.

The prediction market indicates a 6.16% chance of winning the gift card, with a strong consensus against it at 93.84%. The AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 9.16%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55/100, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.

• 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards not winning the gift card.
• 2 Market probabilities suggest a well-balanced assessment of the situation.
• 3 The AI model shows a marginally higher probability for winning compared to the market.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in market sentiment.