Will ICE or CBP kill another civilian, which sparks at least one protest, by the end of January 2027?

Market suggests a high likelihood of ICE or CBP causing a civilian death by January 2027.

The prediction market indicates a 61% probability that ICE or CBP will kill another civilian, leading to protests before January 2027. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 58%, suggesting a consensus on the potential for civil unrest related to these agencies. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability is 61% for a civilian death by ICE or CBP.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns at 58%, indicating consensus.
• 3 The market is assessed as fairly priced with an edge of -3.
• 4 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, with over 7619 hours remaining.