Markets / Geopolitics / Will Iran and the US announce a formal diplomatic agreement ...

Manifold Geopolitics Expires today OPEN

Will Iran and the US announce a formal diplomatic agreement before August 1, 2026?

60.71%

Market YES

39.29%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

TOO CLOSE

Verdict

49.71%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -11 pts

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $104

Liquidity $0

Resolves 02 Apr 2026

Status Open