Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

The market indicates a low probability of Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon by 2030.

Current market probabilities suggest a 23.85% chance of Iran having a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030, with a stronger consensus against it. The Pulse AI model reflects a slightly higher probability of 28.85%, indicating some divergence in sentiment. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong inclination towards 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' than the market.
• 3 The edge of 5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 50 suggests uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.