Markets / Geopolitics / Will Iran release the seized tanker in the Strait of Hormuz ...

Manifold Geopolitics Expires today OPEN

Will Iran release the seized tanker in the Strait of Hormuz before April 15, 2026?

40%

Market YES

60%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

TOO CLOSE

Verdict

47%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +7 pts

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $61

Liquidity $0

Resolves 15 Apr 2026

Status Open