Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?

Low probability of Iran using nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030.

The prediction market indicates a 6.89% chance of Iran using nuclear weapons against Israel by 2030, with a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability at 11.89%, but overall sentiment remains low. With a confidence level of 50/100, the market appears fairly priced given the current geopolitical landscape.

• 1 Market probability shows strong skepticism about nuclear use.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of 5 suggests the market is well-balanced.
• 4 Confidence level at 50 indicates mixed sentiment among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential geopolitical shifts.