Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?

Market shows a slight inclination towards Keir Starmer resigning in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 55% probability of Keir Starmer resigning in 2026, suggesting a prevailing sentiment of uncertainty regarding his tenure. However, the Pulse AI probability aligns at 50% for both outcomes, indicating a lack of consensus and confidence in the data available, as reflected in the edge score of -5.

• 1 Current market probability favors resignation slightly at 55%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests equal probabilities of 50% for both outcomes.
• 3 Market confidence is low, reflected in a score of 50/100.
• 4 Edge score of -5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 6953 hours, allowing for potential shifts.