Will Mojtaba Khamenei be confirmed dead by the end of March?

Market shows low probability of Mojtaba Khamenei being confirmed dead by March's end.

The market indicates a 27.32% probability for Mojtaba Khamenei's death confirmation by the end of March, with a stronger consensus leaning towards 'NO' at 72.68%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 32.32% for 'YES', reflecting some uncertainty in the assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a 'NO' outcome significantly.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests uncertainty in predictions.
• 3 A confidence level of 50/100 indicates mixed opinions among participants.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 416 hours, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Insufficient data is present, reflected in the edge score of 5.