will my taiwanese grandma (86) pass away before china invades taiwan?

There's a 65.25% chance the grandma will pass before a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

The market indicates a higher probability (65.25%) that the grandmother will pass away before a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan, compared to a lower probability (34.75%) for the opposite outcome. The Pulse AI probability suggests a closer margin, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions with an edge of -11, indicating insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards the grandmother passing away first.
• 2 The probability gap suggests mixed confidence among participants.
• 3 Historical data on similar situations may influence perceptions.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears limited, affecting price stability.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with over 33000 hours until expiry.