Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)

Market favors less housing in NYC in 2026 if Zohran does not win.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability for less housing construction in NYC in 2026 if Zohran does not win, with a 69.45% likelihood. The market appears fairly priced, as the edge is minimal at 3, suggesting that current sentiments are well-aligned with the probabilities. The confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards less housing if Zohran loses.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a significant impact of Zohran's win on housing construction.
• 3 Market edge indicates fair pricing with limited room for arbitrage.
• 4 Confidence level shows moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.