Markets / Other / Will "Open sourcing a browser extension that shows ..." make...

Manifold Other Expires in 611 days OPEN

Will "Open sourcing a browser extension that shows ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

11.16%

Market YES

88.84%

Market NO

Trade on Manifold →

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

16.16%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

Low probability for the extension to make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's review.

The market shows a strong preference for 'NO', indicating skepticism about the extension's impact. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar trend, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for 'YES'. With a confidence score of 40/100 and an edge of 5, the data suggests uncertainty in the assessment.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO' with 88.84% probability.
2 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view with a 16.16% chance for 'YES'.
3 The edge of 5 indicates insufficient data for a confident prediction.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 40/100, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
5 Time to expiry is significant at 16450 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.