Will Russia nuke Ukraine?

5.77%

Market YES

94.23%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

10.92%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Market appears fairly priced Edge: +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Russia using nuclear weapons in Ukraine.

Current market probabilities show a strong consensus against the likelihood of Russia deploying nuclear weapons in Ukraine, with a 94.08% chance of 'NO.' The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 10.92% for 'YES,' but overall confidence remains moderate at 45/100, indicating uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.

AI Market Analysis

1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 94.08%.
2 Pulse AI suggests a higher risk perception at 10.92% for 'YES.'
3 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100, reflecting uncertainty.
4 Time to expiry is significant at over 33055 hours, allowing for potential developments.
5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.