Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence?

The market suggests SBF is unlikely to serve his full 25-year sentence.

Current market probabilities indicate an 81.54% likelihood that SBF will not serve his full sentence, while the AI model estimates a slightly higher chance of 21.46% for him serving the full term. The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 45 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong belief that SBF will not serve the full sentence.
• 2 AI model predicts a slightly higher chance of serving the full term compared to market odds.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is well-aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 4 Confidence level of 45 suggests uncertainty in the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments to influence the market.