Will Starship fly to orbit more times before Artemis II, than SLS ever flies?

Market favors SLS flying before Starship orbits more than once.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for the NO outcome, indicating that participants believe SLS will fly before Starship achieves multiple orbital flights. The probability of YES is relatively low, suggesting skepticism about Starship's timeline compared to SLS's flight schedule.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors NO at 96.92%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows slightly higher confidence in YES at 6.08%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at over 24323 hours.