Will "The Artificial Self" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Low probability for 'The Artificial Self' to rank in the top fifty posts.

'The Artificial Self' has a market probability of 12.16% for making the top fifty posts, indicating skepticism among participants. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 17.16%, suggesting some potential for reconsideration, but overall confidence remains low at 40/100.

• 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO' for top fifty inclusion.
• 2 Market shows a significant gap between participant and AI probabilities.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively low, indicating uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Limited data may hinder accurate assessment of the market's future direction.