Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2026 than 2025?

The market predicts a high likelihood of increased measles cases in 2026 compared to 2025.

With a market probability of 94% for more measles cases in 2026, there is strong sentiment towards an increase. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 91% probability, indicating consensus among participants. However, the edge of -3 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of increased cases.
• 2 The probability of 94% indicates strong confidence in the prediction.
• 3 Historical data on measles trends may influence expectations.
• 4 Market pricing suggests no significant misalignment with AI predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.