Markets / Other / Will the current Binary Markets be deprecated on manifold, b...
Manifold Other Expires in 236 days OPEN

Will the current Binary Markets be deprecated on manifold, by EOY 2026?

8.14%
Market YES
91.86%
Market NO
Trade on Manifold →
Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
13.14%
AI YES
55
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

Low probability of Binary Markets being deprecated by EOY 2026.

The market shows a strong preference for the NO outcome, with 91.86% probability against deprecation. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 13.14%. The confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards NO deprecation.
  • 2 Market probability indicates low confidence in YES outcome.
  • 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for YES than market consensus.
  • 4 Moderate confidence level reflects uncertainty in future developments.
  • 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in market sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of significant changes to Binary Markets
Increased user dissatisfaction with current market structure
Emergence of competing platforms offering better features
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $441
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jan 2027
Status Open
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