Markets / Other / Will the cutoff for 2026 USAMO with AMC 12 A and AIME I be 3...
Manifold Other Expires today OPEN

Will the cutoff for 2026 USAMO with AMC 12 A and AIME I be 390?

3.72%
Market YES
96.28%
Market NO
Trade on Manifold →
Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
8.31%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +3 pts

Market suggests low probability for a cutoff of 390 in the 2026 USAMO.

The market shows a strong preference for the 'NO' outcome, indicating that participants believe the cutoff will not be 390. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 76 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced based on current probabilities.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 94.69%.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 8.31%.
  • 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry is short at 76 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Changes in AMC 12 A or AIME I scoring criteria
New information about participant performance trends
Expert analysis or predictions that shift sentiment
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $5,503
Liquidity $0
Resolves 20 Mar 2026
Status Open
Related Markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?...
3.85% NO polymarket
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?...
0.05% NO polymarket
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?...
0.15% NO polymarket
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?...
99.95% YES polymarket
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?...
99.95% YES polymarket