Will the first Lunar Gateway modules launch later than 2025?

High probability of Lunar Gateway modules launching after 2025.

The market indicates a 95% probability that the first Lunar Gateway modules will launch later than 2025, suggesting strong sentiment against an on-time launch. The Pulse AI also reflects a high probability of 90%, but with a noted edge of -5, indicating insufficient data for a confident assessment. Overall confidence in this prediction is moderate at 40 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors a delay beyond 2025.
• 2 Historical delays in space projects may influence expectations.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for consistent trading.
• 4 Time pressure is significant with over 50,000 hours until expiry.
• 5 Potential for new information to shift probabilities significantly.