Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

9.67%

Market YES

90.33%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

14.14%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

Market indicates low probability of gold dropping below $3k/ounce by 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against gold prices falling below $3,000 per ounce in 2026, with a 90.86% probability for 'NO.' However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 14.14% for a price drop, indicating some divergence in sentiment.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors stability in gold prices.
2 The probability of a price drop is relatively low compared to historical trends.
3 Market confidence is moderate, indicating uncertainty in long-term forecasts.
4 The time to expiry allows for potential market shifts due to external factors.
5 Liquidity appears sufficient, but the edge suggests caution in predictions.