Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?

The market suggests a low probability of Satoshi Nakamoto's identity being revealed before 2031.

With a market probability of 16.59% for a YES outcome, the consensus leans heavily towards NO at 83.41%. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors YES at 19.59%, indicating some divergence in sentiment but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests potential for shifts in perception.
• 3 Historical trends show that identities in crypto remain elusive.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with 43328 hours until expiry.