Markets / Other / Will the LME nickel price exceed 8500 USD/tonne on April 1, ...
Manifold Other Expires today OPEN

Will the LME nickel price exceed 8500 USD/tonne on April 1, 2026?

97.69%
Market YES
2.31%
Market NO
Trade on Manifold →
Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
90.29%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -5 pts

High probability for LME nickel price to exceed 8500 USD/tonne by April 1, 2026.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 95.29% probability that the LME nickel price will exceed 8500 USD/tonne by the specified date. Despite this high probability, the Pulse AI indicates a slightly lower confidence at 90.29%, suggesting some uncertainty in the underlying data.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a price increase.
  • 2 High probability indicates strong confidence among traders.
  • 3 Pulse AI shows slightly lower confidence, indicating potential data gaps.
  • 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 290 hours, adding urgency.
  • 5 Edge of -5 suggests insufficient data for a more confident assessment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Significant changes in global nickel supply or demand
Major geopolitical events affecting metal markets
Economic shifts impacting industrial usage of nickel
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $570
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Apr 2026
Status Open
Related Markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?...
3.85% NO polymarket
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?...
0.05% NO polymarket
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?...
0.15% NO polymarket
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?...
99.95% YES polymarket
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?...
99.95% YES polymarket