Will the risk of death during Artemis II reach 20%?

The market indicates a low probability of death risk during Artemis II reaching 20%.

Current market probabilities show a strong belief that the risk of death during Artemis II will not exceed 20%, with a NO probability of 91.01%. The AI model also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low risk perception among participants.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against high risk of death.
• 2 AI probability is slightly higher than market, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 Confidence level of 55/100 suggests moderate belief in current probabilities.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential information updates.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 3.