Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2026?

Market indicates low confidence in S&P 500 increasing every quarter in 2026.

The prediction market shows an 83% probability that the S&P 500 will not increase in every quarter of 2026, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a balanced view of potential economic conditions.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical trends show volatility in S&P 500 performance.
• 3 Economic forecasts may influence future market probabilities.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is moderate, allowing for some movement.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with less than 300 days until expiry.