Markets / Other / Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 600M barrels of oil ...

Manifold Other Expires in 145 days OPEN

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 600M barrels of oil or more at the end of 2026?

8.88%

Market YES

91.12%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

13.88%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

Market indicates a low probability for the SPR to exceed 600M barrels by 2026.

The current market probability suggests a strong expectation that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will not reach 600 million barrels by the end of 2026, with a NO probability of 91.12%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty, as indicated by the edge score of 5 and a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
2 The probability of YES is notably low at 8.88%.
3 Pulse AI shows slightly higher uncertainty with a YES probability of 13.88%.
4 The edge score of 5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6899 hours, allowing for potential market shifts.