Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

The market suggests a higher likelihood of U.S. military remaining in Iraq by 2028.

Current market probabilities indicate a 63.23% chance that the U.S. military will not fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 56.23% probability for the 'NO' outcome. The edge of 7 suggests that there is insufficient data for a confident assessment of this geopolitical situation.

• 1 Current sentiment leans towards U.S. military remaining in Iraq.
• 2 Market probability for 'NO' is significantly higher than 'YES'.
• 3 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in probability for U.S. staying.
• 4 The edge indicates uncertainty in the market's predictive accuracy.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential geopolitical shifts.