Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

The market indicates a low likelihood of a Constitutional Convention by 2050.

With a market probability of 34% for a Constitutional Convention occurring by 2050, the consensus leans towards a 'NO' outcome at 66%. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors 'YES' at 37%, suggesting a modest divergence in sentiment but overall agreement on low likelihood.

• 1 Current market sentiment is predominantly against a Constitutional Convention.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 3.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 50, indicating uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in political climate.
• 5 Historical context shows few successful conventions, impacting current perceptions.