Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

The market suggests a low probability of a new US-Russia nuclear arms race before 2028.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that the US and Russia will not initiate a new nuclear arms race before 2028, with a NO probability of 69.67%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher YES probabilities, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome, indicating confidence in stability.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher YES probability, suggesting some divergence in sentiment.
• 3 The edge of 5 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current information.
• 4 Confidence level at 50/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential geopolitical developments.