Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

The market indicates a low probability of the US conducting a nuclear test before 2030.

Current market probabilities suggest a strong consensus against the US conducting a nuclear test, with 76.35% favoring 'NO'. However, the Pulse AI probability indicates a slightly higher chance of 30.65% for 'YES', reflecting some uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO'.
• 2 The Pulse AI shows a higher probability than the market, indicating differing views.
• 3 The edge of 7 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 4 The confidence level is relatively low at 45/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in geopolitical dynamics.