Markets / Geopolitics / Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?...

Manifold Geopolitics Expires in 287 days OPEN

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

54.75%

Market YES

45.25%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

43.75%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -11 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

Analysis is being generated. Check back shortly.

Price History

Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $905

Liquidity $0

Resolves 31 Dec 2026

Status Open