Will the U.S. military be defeated by a rogue AI before 2035?

The market shows a low probability of U.S. military defeat by rogue AI by 2035.

Current market probabilities indicate an 8.60% chance of U.S. military defeat by rogue AI, with a stronger consensus against this outcome at 91.4%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 13.6%, indicating some divergence in sentiment, but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome significantly.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher risk perception than the market.
• 3 The edge of 5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, indicating uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments.