Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

The market suggests a low likelihood of increased entry refusals for nonimmigrant travelers in 2025.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that the US will not refuse entry to nonimmigrant travelers at an increased rate in 2025 compared to 2024. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, though slightly more optimistic about the possibility of increased refusals. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence levels.

• 1 Market probability favors 'NO' at 70.57%, indicating skepticism about increased refusals.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 32.43%, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates that the market is likely accurately priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6844 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment or policy.