Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Market shows a near-even split on the World Tension Index exceeding 100 in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a slight lean towards the World Tension Index not exceeding 100 in 2026, with a probability of 53% for 'NO'. However, the close probabilities from both the market and Pulse AI suggest uncertainty, indicating that various geopolitical factors could significantly influence the outcome.

• 1 Current market probability shows a tight race between YES and NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of 5 suggests insufficient data for a confident prediction.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, reflecting mixed signals.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments to influence the market.