Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

The market indicates a low probability of civil war in the US over the next 20 years.

Current market probabilities suggest a 31.51% chance of civil war in the US, with a majority (68.49%) believing it will not occur. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a slightly higher probability for civil conflict. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence levels.

• 1 Market probability for civil war is at 31.51%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability at 36.51%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.
• 4 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 45 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is approximately 17.5 years.