Will there be a megaquake anywhere in the world by March 31st, 2026?

The market indicates a low probability of a megaquake by March 31, 2026.

Current market probabilities show an 18.11% chance of a megaquake occurring by the specified date, with a majority (81.89%) predicting otherwise. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 23.11%, indicating some divergence in expectations. However, the overall confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100, reflecting uncertainty in the data.

• 1 Market sentiment leans heavily towards no megaquake by the deadline.
• 2 The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability than the market.
• 3 Confidence in the prediction is moderate, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 The edge score suggests insufficient data for a strong assessment.
• 5 Time until expiry is limited, with only 410 hours remaining.