Will there be a new(ly) major war in 2026?

Market indicates a high probability of a major war in 2026.

The prediction market shows a 65.73% probability for a new major war in 2026, suggesting significant concern among participants. The Pulse AI probability is lower at 56.73%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 9 points, reflecting some skepticism about the likelihood of conflict.

• 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards the possibility of war.
• 2 The NO side appears undervalued, suggesting potential for a shift.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Market dynamics may change with new geopolitical events.