Will there be an end to hostilities between Russia and Ukraine before April 1, 2026?

The market indicates a low probability of hostilities ending by April 2026.

Current market probabilities suggest a strong belief that hostilities between Russia and Ukraine will continue until at least April 2026. The market probability for a resolution is only 2.18%, while the AI model predicts a slightly higher chance of 7.18%. This indicates a consensus that significant geopolitical tensions are likely to persist in the near term.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors ongoing conflict over resolution.
• 2 AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of peace than market odds.
• 3 Current probabilities reflect entrenched geopolitical positions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.