Will there be another US government shutdown in 2026?

High probability of a US government shutdown in 2026 is currently forecasted.

The prediction market indicates a 97.86% chance of a US government shutdown occurring in 2026, supported by a similar AI probability of 94.86%. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 6915 hours, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of -3.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on a shutdown occurring.
• 2 AI predictions align closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Current confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty.
• 4 Time until the event allows for potential political changes.
• 5 Fair pricing indicates limited arbitrage opportunities.