Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Low probability for fighting in Crimea amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that fighting in Crimea is unlikely, with a majority probability of 88.82% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 16.18%, suggesting some uncertainty remains in the market.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a stable outlook on fighting in Crimea.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in the situation.