Will Turkey remain a member of NATO by 2030?

Turkey is likely to remain in NATO by 2030, with high market confidence.

The prediction market indicates a strong probability of Turkey remaining a NATO member by 2030, with a market probability of 83.09% for 'YES'. However, the Pulse AI shows a slightly lower confidence at 72.09%, suggesting some uncertainty in the analysis. The edge of -11 indicates insufficient data for a more definitive assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Turkey remaining in NATO.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests differing analyses.
• 3 Historical context shows Turkey's long-standing NATO membership.
• 4 Market liquidity appears moderate, impacting confidence levels.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential geopolitical developments.