Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

Market suggests Ukraine is less likely to lose territory in 2026 than in 2025.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability that Ukraine will not lose more territory in 2026 compared to 2025, with a NO probability of 64.82%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability. Overall, the confidence level is moderate, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current sentiment leans towards Ukraine maintaining its territory.
• 2 Market shows a notable gap between human and AI probabilities.
• 3 The edge score suggests insufficient data for a confident prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry indicates a long period for potential geopolitical changes.
• 5 Confidence level reflects moderate uncertainty in the outcome.