Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?

Market predicts higher US unemployment in September 2026 compared to 2022 and 2024.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief (90.48% probability) that unemployment in the US will be higher in September 2026 than in the earlier benchmarks of September 2022 and September 2024. The Pulse AI also supports this view with an 87.48% probability, suggesting a consensus on future economic challenges. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3, indicating balanced expectations among participants.

• 1 High market probability indicates strong sentiment towards rising unemployment.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing predictions.
• 3 Confidence level of 55/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in the forecast.
• 4 Time to expiry of 5557 hours allows for potential shifts in economic conditions.
• 5 Market edge of -3 indicates fair pricing, reflecting balanced participant views.