Markets / Geopolitics / Will US ground troops physically enter Iranian territory by ...

Manifold Geopolitics Expires today OPEN

Will US ground troops physically enter Iranian territory by May 1, 2026?

62.13%

Market YES

37.87%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

TOO CLOSE

Verdict

51.13%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -11 pts

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $450

Liquidity $0

Resolves 01 May 2026

Status Open