Will USA sink an Iranian ship

90.2%

Market YES

9.8%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

YES

Verdict

80.7%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -9.5 pts

High probability of the USA sinking an Iranian ship based on current market sentiment.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the USA sinking an Iranian ship, with a 90.20% probability for 'YES'. However, the Pulse AI probability is lower at 80.7%, indicating some uncertainty in the underlying factors influencing this prediction.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'YES' outcome.
2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence than the market.
3 The edge of -9.5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting uncertainty.
5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability of the situation.