Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2030?

Market suggests a high probability that Putin will be alive at the end of 2030.

The prediction market indicates a 69% probability that Vladimir Putin will be alive at the end of 2030, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 66%. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3, reflecting moderate confidence in the outcome with a score of 45 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability favors YES at 69%.
• 2 Pulse AI's estimate is slightly lower at 66%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 45/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant at over 3.5 years.
• 5 The market appears to be fairly priced with minimal edge.