Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2031?

Market suggests a higher likelihood of Putin being alive at the end of 2031.

The prediction market indicates a 64.58% probability that Vladimir Putin will be alive at the end of 2031. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 59.58%, reflecting a consensus on his potential longevity. However, the edge of -5 suggests that there is insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a positive outlook for Putin's longevity.
• 2 The probabilities reflect a cautious optimism about his health and political stability.
• 3 Historical trends show varying outcomes for leaders in similar positions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears moderate, indicating some investor interest.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential changes in circumstances.