Will we get AGI before 2028?

The market indicates a low probability of achieving AGI before 2028.

With a market probability of 13.91% for achieving AGI before 2028, the consensus leans heavily towards a negative outcome. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 16.91%, suggesting some optimism but still indicating skepticism about the timeline for AGI development.

• 1 Current market sentiment is predominantly negative regarding AGI by 2028.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 17414 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view compared to market probability.