Will we get AGI before 2030?

Market favors no AGI before 2030, with a probability of 68.52%.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the belief that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will not be achieved before 2030, with a probability of 68.52% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI model also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for 'YES', indicating some uncertainty in the forecasts.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO'.
• 2 The market probability suggests a consensus against early AGI.
• 3 Pulse AI's probabilities indicate a slight divergence from market sentiment.
• 4 The edge score of 3 implies the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.