Will we get AGI before 2032?

The market shows a near-even split on achieving AGI before 2032.

With a market probability of 45% for a YES outcome and 55% for NO, the sentiment indicates uncertainty regarding the timeline for AGI development. The Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic at 48% for YES, suggesting a close evaluation of potential advancements. Overall, the confidence level is moderate at 50 out of 100, reflecting the speculative nature of this prediction.

• 1 Market probability indicates a slight lean towards NO.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a marginally higher probability for YES.
• 3 Current sentiment reflects high uncertainty in AGI timelines.
• 4 Confidence level suggests mixed opinions among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments.